Recent price trends of calcium carbide

According to the commodity market analysis system of Shengyishe, the ex factory price of calcium carbide in the northwest region is temporarily stable this week. This week, the average ex factory price of mainstream calcium carbide manufacturers in Northwest China was 3016.67 yuan/ton, and the weekend price decreased by 18.83% year-on-year. On January 7th, the calcium carbide commodity index was 79.04, unchanged from yesterday, a decrease of 62.76% from the highest point in the cycle of 212.23 points (2021-10-26), and an increase of 42.44% from the lowest point of 55.49 points on March 14th, 2016. (Note: The cycle refers to the period from September 1st, 2011 to present)

Insufficient upstream support and weakened downstream demand

From the supply side perspective, the ex factory prices of calcium carbide in the northwest region have remained stable this week, and the inventory levels of manufacturers are average.

The upstream blue charcoal market has slightly declined, while the downstream PVC market prices have slightly declined. This weekend, the price of Shenmulan charcoal was around 1110 yuan/ton, with a decrease of 50 yuan/ton, indicating insufficient cost support. The PVC market price has slightly increased this week, dropping from 5638 yuan/ton at the beginning of the week to 5628 yuan/ton at the end of the week, a decrease of 0.18%. Weekend prices fell by 8.56% year-on-year. The PVC market price has slightly declined, and downstream customers have weakened their enthusiasm for purchasing calcium carbide. The downstream PVC market has a negative impact on the price of calcium carbide.

Calcium carbide may experience a volatile decline in the future market

In mid to late January, the calcium carbide market may experience narrow fluctuations and decline. The downstream PVC market has slightly declined, downstream demand has weakened, raw material blue charcoal prices have slightly declined, and cost support is insufficient. In the future, it is expected that the price of calcium carbide in the northwest region will experience a narrow range of fluctuations and decline in mid to late January, with consolidation being the main trend.