1、 Price trend

According to the bulk data list of the business agency, the average price of domestic phosphoric acid on May 20 was 11160 yuan / ton, up 2.57% from 10880 at the beginning of the week and 111.27% from the same period last year.

2、 Market analysis

The price of raw materials continued to rise this week. Phosphoric acid enterprises watched carefully, and the enterprise increased moderately at about 200-600 yuan / ton. Near the wet season, there is still no significant improvement in the construction of yellow phosphorus in the field. The spot is tight, the price is high, and the price of phosphoric acid is pushed up under the pressure of cost. At present, the operation of phosphoric acid enterprises is stable, but the downstream follow-up is insufficient, and the market trading is tepid. By the end of the week, the price of raw materials was about 39500-40000 yuan / ton, and the market price of phosphoric acid was about 10600-12800 yuan / ton. The quotation in Sichuan is about 10600-11300 yuan / ton, that in Hubei is 11000-12500 yuan / ton, that in Shandong is 11000-12000 yuan / ton, and that in Jiangsu is 11000-12000 yuan / ton.

Recently, the domestic phosphate rock market has been rising as a whole. The supply in the phosphate rock field is still tight. The supply of several mainstream domestic mines is tight, mainly for their own use, and there is basically no external supply inventory. Some mines in other regions have taken the initiative to contract shareholders and users, and there is no external quotation for the time being. Some orders have been arranged until June. At present, the overall inventory in the phosphate rock field is low, the market circulation supply is small, and the domestic phosphate rock market price continues to move closer to the high end.

Yellow phosphorus: at present, the operating load of yellow phosphorus enterprises is not high, and there is still no significant increase in the on-site operation near the wet season. Manufacturers often send early orders, the spot is tight, and the transaction price in the overall market is further close to the high-end. Downstream enterprises are more wait-and-see, and most of them digest the early inventory. The turnover of new yellow phosphorus orders is relatively small, and the manufacturers mainly support the price, mostly stabilize, and some enterprises still have the intention to rise. Up to now, the mainstream quotation of yellow phosphorus in Yunnan is about 40000 yuan / ton; The mainstream quotation of yellow phosphorus in Sichuan is about 40000 yuan / ton; The mainstream quotation of yellow phosphorus in Guizhou is about 39500 yuan / ton.

3、 Aftermarket forecast

According to the phosphoric acid analysts of business society, due to the rising price of raw materials, the support of cost side is strengthened, and the overall focus of phosphoric acid market is shifted upward. It is expected that the price of phosphoric acid will be stable and upward in the short term.