1、 Price trend:

According to the bulk list data of business society, the domestic market of PA6 was strong in early January, and the spot prices of various brands rose. As of January 14, the mainstream offer price of 2.75-2.85 for Zhongtong was about 16133.33 yuan / ton, up or down by 3.20% compared with the average price at the beginning of the month.

2、 Analysis of influencing factors:

Industrial chain: in terms of raw material caprolactam, the overall market operated smoothly this week, the spot price remained stable, and some enterprises raised the ex factory price. The price of raw material pure benzene is rising. At present, the cost of caprolactam is well supported, and the downstream starts to follow up. After the restart of some enterprise devices, the supply will increase. Caprolactam is expected to rise steadily in the short term.

The upstream caprolactam is stronger, and the cost side support of PA6 is strengthened. The operating rate of domestic PA6 polymerization plant this week is more stable than before, with an overall rate of about 70%. The maintenance of some enterprises in the early stage is good, and the supply of high-speed spinning chips is tight at present. At present, downstream enterprises have entered the holiday schedule one after another, the pre holiday stock tide is at the end, and there is demand expectation in some areas. The inventory position of terminal enterprise PA6 is not high, the purchase operation is just needed, and most transactions are contract orders.

3、 Future forecast:

Business analysts believe that the spot price of PA6 rises, the trend of caprolactam is strong, and the cost support of PA6 is enhanced. The preparation before the end of the terminal demand Festival is coming to an end, and the order situation of PA6 enterprises is expected to decrease. It is reported that the load of PA6 enterprises has an upward trend. It is expected that the rise of PA6 price may be blocked in the short term, with a narrow correction.