1、 Price trend

As can be seen from the above figure, the ex factory price of domestic potassium chloride fell this week. This week, the average price of mainstream factory quotation of domestic potassium chloride decreased from 3270.00 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week to 2890.00 yuan / ton at the end of the week, a decrease of 11.62%. Compared with the same period last year, it increased by 50.13% year-on-year. Overall, the potassium chloride market fell this week, and the potassium chloride commodity index was 91.75 on October 15.

2、 Market analysis

The quotation of mainstream potassium chloride manufacturers fell this week: the factory quotation of Qinghai Salt Lake potassium chloride at the weekend was 2890 yuan / ton, down 380 yuan / ton compared with the beginning of the week; Anhui kaimi’s potassium chloride distribution quotation is 3800 yuan / ton, which is temporarily stable compared with that at the beginning of the week; Anhui Badou potassium chloride distribution quotation is 3800 yuan / ton, which is temporarily stable compared with that at the beginning of the week. The price of 62% white potassium in the port is about 3700-3900 yuan / ton, and that of 60% red particles is about 3700-3800 yuan / ton; The price of 62% Russian White potassium in border trade is about 3500 yuan / ton; The arrival price of 60% potassium in Qinghai is about 3270 yuan / ton. There is a tight supply of marketable potash fertilizer in China. Although the production enterprises are fully engaged in production, the operating rate is slightly low and the self-sufficiency rate is insufficient. It is said that the salt lake company may stop production for maintenance in November.

3、 Future forecast

The overall trend of potassium chloride Market in late October or high consolidation. The international demand for potash fertilizer is strong, but the domestic available supply is in short supply. Potassium chloride analysts of business society believe that the short-term potassium chloride market is dominated by high-level consolidation under the influence of supply and demand and raw materials.